By L. Druyan
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Over the NH extratropics, the two methods have a comparable result in MAM and DJF, but the PMA has higher (lower) predictability in JJA (SON) than the MSE. The estimations shown here are based on the state-of-the art climate model predictions. With further improvement of climate prediction models, estimates of potential predictability will become closer to their true values. 6. Acknowledgement This research was supported by APEC Climate Center and IPRC (which is in part supported by JAMSTEC, NOAA (grant No.
Ropelewski, 1998: Progress during toga in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperature. J. Geophys. , 103, 12,32414,291. Wallace, J. M. and D. Guztler, 1981: Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the northern hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. , 109, 784-812. -S. Kang IS, J. ,2007: Coupled predictability of seasonal tropical precipitation. CLIVAR Exchanges, 12:17–18 42 Climate Models Wang, Bin, June-Yi Lee, J. -S. -K. , 2009: Advance and prospectus of seasonal prediction: Assessment of APCC/CliPAS 14-model ensemble retrospective seasonal prediction (1980-2004).
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Climate Models by L. Druyan